Ordering Chaos

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Thoughts on religion, politics, life and death. And other banned topics.

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Tag: probability

  • Why Stories Circulate about Covid-19 Deaths

    I’ve seen several posts on Facebook claiming that deaths of relatives or friends have been falsely attributed to covid-19 when in fact they were due to some other cause. These anecdotes represent a misunderstanding of the way statistics work and how data for statistics is collected. Of course, researchers want as accurate a count as…

  • Implausible Murder

    I’ve become a fan of NCIS. I watch an episode almost every night. I like it. (I’m currently on season 7, so don’t worry about reading any spoilers for a recent episode.) Every once in a while, however, they come up with a plot that is so full of holes, it should never have seen…

  • Probability

    I heard a caller on a local radio station this evening say something in praise of her 17-year-old son. The host said, “You must have a good relationship with your son.” “Well, I have three sons,” said the caller. “So I have a 33% chance of having a good relationship.” Of course, this was a…